M&A Analogue Dashboard

Pending deal selection, analogue ranking, comparison summaries, and relevant sources.

AES CORP / California Public Employees' Retirement System,Qatar Investment Authority,Global Infrastructure Management LLC (Fund: Global Infrastructure Partners LP),EQT AB

Cash · Utilities · Announcement: 2026-03-02
Expected completion: 2027-06-30
Announced deal value (mil): 38330.81
Nature of bid: Friendly
Percent sought: 100

Sources / News

No sources available yet for this deal.

Interpretation

The pending deal's announcement reaction looks materially weaker than the analogue median (-17.8% vs 7.6%).
By day 5, the pending deal still looks materially weaker than analogue history (-17.9% vs 13.6%).
At the current comparison horizon, the spread is materially narrower than the analogue median (0.72 vs 2.87).
Analogue coverage includes 3 same-sector analogues and 52 fallback analogues, so the strongest comparisons should generally come from the same-sector names first.
Pending announcement jump
-0.1777
Analogue median announcement jump
0.0761
Pending latest spread
0.7200
Analogue median latest spread
2.8700

Top analogues

RankTargetTierDateScoreReasons
1PEPCO HOLDINGS LLC12014-04-301062.62same payment type (Cash), same target sector (Utilities), similar percent sought, same bid nature (Friendly)
2SOUTHERN CO GAS12015-08-241062.31same payment type (Cash), same target sector (Utilities), similar percent sought, same bid nature (Friendly)
3TECO ENERGY INC12015-09-041060.33same payment type (Cash), same target sector (Utilities), similar percent sought, same bid nature (Friendly)
4WALGREENS BOOTS ALLIANCE INC22025-03-0798.11same payment type (Cash), fallback out-of-sector analogue, very similar deal size, similar percent sought, same bid nature (Friendly)
5KELLANOVA22024-08-1494.97same payment type (Cash), fallback out-of-sector analogue, very similar deal size, similar percent sought, same bid nature (Friendly)
6SPRINT COMMUNICATIONS LLC22012-10-1594.70same payment type (Cash), fallback out-of-sector analogue, very similar deal size, same bid nature (Friendly)
7PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP22015-08-1094.67same payment type (Cash), fallback out-of-sector analogue, very similar deal size, similar percent sought, same bid nature (Friendly)
8RED HAT LLC22018-10-2888.99same payment type (Cash), fallback out-of-sector analogue, very similar deal size, similar percent sought, same bid nature (Friendly)
9TWITTER INC22022-04-2585.36same payment type (Cash), fallback out-of-sector analogue, very similar deal size
10CERNER CORP22021-12-2084.74same payment type (Cash), fallback out-of-sector analogue, similar deal size, similar percent sought, same bid nature (Friendly)

Target return path

Spread path

Volume ratio path